Modeling and Forecasting Effects of Land Use Change in China Based on Socioeconomic Drivers

This project report covers the 16-month period from May, 1998 - November, 1999. During this period, we have: 1) evaluated various atmospheric correction techniques for our time series of images 2) developed and tested algorithms for classifying land cover and identifying dates of change 3) generated annual estimates of land conversion 4) acquired and analyzed socioeconomic data 5) created a map of land-use change 6) assessed the accuracy assessment of land-use change map from field visits 7) started the analysis of 8-km intra-annual composites of AVHRR data to evaluate changes in NDVI as a function of land conversion and associated changes in carbon stock 8) begun econometric modeling of the relation between development and land-use change. This report describes the progress made in each of these areas during this period.