Modeling and Forecasting Effects of Land Use Change in China Based on Socioeconomic Drivers: Part 2

Questions – How rapidly is agricultural land being lost? – How rapidly are urban areas growing? – How is land-use change related to economic activity? • Goals – Quantify rate and amount of land conversion. – Quantify socioeconomic drivers of land-use change. – Quantify effects of land-use change on biophysical properties and biogeochemical processes. • Approach – Quantify land-use change from satellite images. – Model relation between land-use and socioeconomic variables. – Explore the effect of land-use change on biophysical attributes and biogeochemical processes. – Forecast land-use change under various scenarios for economic development.